Science Watch® - Tracking Trends and Performance in Basic Research
September/October 2004


Hormone-Replacement Debate Continues to Dominate by David Sharp
WHAT'S HOT IN MEDICINE
Rank      Paper Citations This Period (Mar-Apr 04) Rank Last Period (Jan-Feb 04)
1 J.E. Rossouw, et al. (Women’s Health Initiat. Invest.), "Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women. Principal results from the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled trial," JAMA-J. Amer. Med. Assoc., 288(3): 321-3, 17 July 2002. [8 U.S. institutions] *573AK 136 1
2 R. Collins, et al. (Heart Protection Study Collaborative Group), "MRC/BHF heart protection: Study of cholesterol lowering with simvastatin in 20356 high-risk individuals: A randomised placebo-controlled trial," Lancet, 360(9326): 7-22, 6 July 2002. [Authors’ affilations: multiple U.K. institutions, based at Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford] *569JR 87 5
3 M.-C. Morice, et al., "A randomized comparison of a sirolimus-eluting stent with a standard stent for coronary revascularization," New Engl. J. Med., 346(23): 1773-80, 6 June 2002. [12 institutions worldwide] *559EK 59
4 C. Drosten, et al., "Identification of a novel coronavirus in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome," New Engl. J. Med., 348(20): 1967-76, 15 May 2003. [5 European institutions] *677TJ 58 3
5 T.G. Ksiazek, et al., "A novel coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome," New Engl. J. Med., 348(20): 1953-66, 15 May 2003. [7 institutions worldwide] *677TJ 55 2
6 M.W. Fried, et al., "Peginterferon alfa-2a plus ribavarin for chronic hepatitis C virus infection," New Engl. J. Med., 347(13): 975-82, 26 September 2002. [12 institutions worldwide] *596RD 55
7 K.M. Flegal, et al., "Prevalence and trends in obesity among US adults, 1999-2000," JAMA-J. Amer. Med. Assoc., 288(14): 1723-7, 9 October 2002. [CDC, Hyattsville, MD] *602BJ 52 8
8 C.D. Furberg, et al. (ALLHAT officers and coordinators), "Major outcomes in high-risk hypertensive patients randomized to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or calcium channel blocker vs diuretic. The Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack Trial (ALLHAT)," JAMA-J. Amer. Med. Assoc., 288(23): 2981-97, 18 December 2002. [Corresponding authors: Case Western Reserve U., Cleveland, OH; U. Texas Houston Health Center] *626CG 50 10
9 G. Van den Berghe, et al., "Intensive insulin therapy in critically ill patients," New Engl. J. Med., 345(19): 1359-67, 8 November 2001. [Catholic U. Leuven, Belgium] *489VY 48
10 P.A. Rota, et al., "Characterization of a novel coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome," Science, 300[5624]: 1394-9, 30 May 2003. [CDC, Atlanta, GA: Univ. Calif., San Francisco; Erasmus Univ., Rotterdam, Netherlands; Bernhard Nocht Inst. Tropical Med., Berlin, Germany] *683ZW 47
 SOURCE: Thomson Scientific Hot Papers DatabaseRead  the full legend.

   Interest continues to center on a cluster of reports from 2003 investigating SARS, or severe acute respiratory syndrome (see Science Watch, 15[3]: 5, May/June 2004), with six such papers currently ranking among the top 20. Between them, those six have already accumulated an impressive 1,404 citations, but paper #1, meanwhile, has only 200 fewer just by itself. For SARS the news is the uncovering of the genome sequence for the causative coronavirus. A mere handful of citations separate #10 from the companion paper in the May 30, 2003, issue of Science, by Dr. Marco A. Marra and his colleagues (see 300[5624]: 1399-404, 2003; currently at #14, cited 42 times this period, with 143 citations overall). It is the promise of the postgenomic era that excites here. As Dr. Paul A. Rota and his coworkers say in their collaborative paper from the United States, Netherlands, and Germany (#10): "The availability of complete genomic sequences…should have an immediate impact on disease control efforts by making it possible to develop improved diagnostic tests, vaccines, and antiviral agents."
Visit the ESI Special Topic: Coronaviruses.

As hinted before (see Science Watch, 15[2]: 5, March/April 2003), the impact of safety concerns about hormone replacement therapy (HRT) raised by paper #1 from the Women’s Health Initiative was certainly immediate. Regulatory authorities were quick to respond with revised advice to women. For example, in December, 2003, the U.K.’s Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency stated that while the balance of risks and benefits might be favorable for HRT for severe menopausal symptoms, provided that prescriptions were short-term and low dose, HRT should no longer be the first choice for the prevention of osteoporosis. In the U.K. half the many HRT products on the market were licensed for both these indications. HRT prescribing generally fell back to 1995 levels, according to pharmaceutical sales statistics.
Visit the ESI Special Topic: Hormone Replacement Therapy.

WHI is a National Institutes of Health-funded research program that began in 1991 and it has yielded far more papers than the influential #1. For example, there had been suggestions that HRT might help prevent or delay the onset of Alzheimer’s disease. However, findings from the WHI Memory Study are far from encouraging in that respect (S.A. Shumaker, et al., JAMA, 291[24]: 2947-58, 2004; M.A. Espeland, et al., JAMA, 291[24]: 2959-68, 2004). Those articles will have kept WHI in the public eye. So have the Million Women Study focusing on HRT and the risk of breast cancer (E. Banks and the Million Women Study Collaborators, Lancet, 362[9382]:419-27, 2003) and an overview of four very large HRT trials, including WHI (V. Beral, E. Banks, G. Reeves, Lancet, 360[9337]:942-4, 2002).

Ever since it first began to appear in Science Watch listings, the paper by Dr. Greta Van den Berghe and her colleagues from Leuven, Belgium, (#9 this time) has been a steady accumulator of citations, with individual bimonthly counts ranging between 23 and 48 over the last eight periods. Yet your columnist, overexcited perhaps by SARS inter alia, has been neglecting it. The observation that critically ill patients, whether they have a history of diabetes or not, have abnormally high blood-sugar levels and show resistance to the blood sugar-lowering hormone insulin prompted a clinical trial of "intensive" insulin therapy targeted at keeping the blood sugar in the range 80 – 110 mg/dL. The controls were given insulin on less-demanding criteria. The mortality rate in intensive care in this trial, enrolling 1,548 patients, was significantly lower in the intensive insulin group (4.6% vs 8.0%).

Mr. David W. Sharp, M.A.(Cambridge),
is a contributing editor to
The Lancet, London, U.K.

Science Watch®, September/October 2004, Vol. 15, No. 5
Citing URL: http://www.sciencewatch.com/sept-oct2004/sw_sept-oct2004_page5.htm

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